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Senior Analyst Keyvan Jafari Tehrani: The increase in CPI and PPI brought slight activity to the Chinese market<\/strong><\/p>\n Senior Global Market Analyst Keyvan Jafari Tehrani, in his interview with eco Iran, shared his assessments regarding China\u2019s Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI).
\nTehrani highlighted the importance of these two indices in understanding the impact of China\u2019s production and consumption markets on commodities.
\nTehrani stated that small increases were observed in China\u2019s CPI and PPI data for October. Accordingly, CPI rose by approximately 0.1% and PPI by around 0.2%. \u201cAlthough there is a slight decrease compared to October of last year, a small increase was recorded compared to September,\u201d he said. He noted that while large fluctuations had been seen in PPI in previous years, CPI fluctuations remained limited.
\nThe analyst emphasized that fluctuations in PPI reflect the volatility of producer prices, while the low fluctuation in CPI limits the economic pressure on consumers. He stressed that this situation reflects the relative stability of the Chinese economy.
\nJafari Tehrani also touched on China\u2019s recent economic outlook. He said that declines had been observed in steel, coke, and coal prices in recent weeks, caused by the Chinese government’s tightening of production controls and especially its efforts to regulate coal consumption for steel mills. However, he noted fluctuations in iron ore prices, mainly due to increased port inventories resulting from shipments from Australia, Brazil, and Canada.
\nAccording to the analyst, arbitrage continues among the Shanghai (SHFE), London (LME), and New York (COMEX) exchanges. He stated that Chinese copper prices are trading below those of LME and COMEX, and that in the last two months of the year, the gap is expected to narrow and prices are expected to recover. He added that this could boost Iran\u2019s exports, as China is an important market for Iranian products.
\nJafari Tehrani emphasized that about 80% of steel production in China is under control of CISA, and that the government regulates production and the market. He underlined that production and domestic consumption data will need to be closely monitored in the coming days.<\/p>\n